Market Dynamics Support Aluminium’s Medium‑Term Outlook
Pricing: Aluminium
prices touched multi-year highs early 2026 amid the
Mozal smelter closure and elevated copper levels.
While modest softening is expected later in 2026,
prices should remain in the US$2,650-2,750/t range,
well above historical norms.
Demand: Global
aluminium consumption continues to be underpinned by
structural demand, particularly in North America and
Europe. In China, demand is increasingly supported by
growth in energy transition-related applications,
including battery storage.
Supply: Supply
tightness is expected to persist in the near to medium
term. While additional capacity is planned in parts of
Asia, production growth remains constrained by
regulatory and structural limits, particularly in
China, where smelter capacity remains close to
national ceilings.
Premiums: Regional
premiums remain resilient, supported by supply
constraints and evolving market structures. While some
regional variation is expected, premiums are projected
to remain structurally elevated over the near term.
Key Takeaway:
Aluminium’s medium-term fundamentals remain robust,
supported by disciplined supply growth and
accelerating demand from energy transition and
industrial application.
Sales by Geographic Footprint
Americas
15.1%
Europe
26.7%
Mena
16.8%
Bahrain
30%
Asia
11.4%
70%
of Alba products are exported worldwide through
its Sales offices in Zurich & Singapore as well as
Subsidiary in Atlanta - US
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regarding Alba
Aluminium Products
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